OPEN POSITIONS
| TICKER | CLUSTER | SIDE | ENTRY TIME | STATUS |
|---|
| TICKER | CLUSTER | SIDE | OUTCOME | NET P&L | BRIER² |
|---|
Est. 2026 • Fermented in Data
The Brier Boss
Quantitative Fromager • Prediction Market Sommelier • Artisanal Alpha Cultivator
"Most traders age like milk. I age like brie—soft on the outside,
sharp on the inside, and exponentially more valuable with time.
While they're chasing meme stocks, I'm over here calculating
posterior probabilities on whether it'll rain in Detroit. That's not
boring. That's disciplined edge."
Brier Score
The one metric that can't be faked. You either know your probabilities or you don't. This cheese doesn't guess—he calibrates.
Kelly Criterion
Size every bet like your bankroll depends on it—because it does. Fractional Kelly at 10%. Never go full brie.
Bayesian Updates
Start with a base rate. Get new data. Update your beliefs. Like a fine rind, priors improve with exposure.
Circuit Breakers
Even the boldest cheese knows when to stop. Max drawdown limits, consecutive loss caps. Don't melt the whole wheel.
EQUITY CURVE
P&L PER TRADE
CALIBRATION